Global Coffee Harvest Outlook

While Brazil is expecting a good coffee harvest in 2025, other major coffee exporting countries have varying forecasts for the 2024/2025 season.

  • Vietnam: Production is expected to be slightly lower, around 2% less than last year, mainly due to drier weather affecting the Robusta crop .
  • Colombia: Anticipates a slight increase in production, with estimates ranging from 1.1% to 23% higher than the previous year, thanks to better weather in some regions .
  • Ethiopia: Is looking forward to a good harvest with a significant increase of about 6.25% compared to last year, thanks to favorable weather .
  • Indonesia: Has revised its forecast down, now expecting an 8% decrease from earlier predictions due to a slower recovery in Robusta production. However, their overall production is still expected to be higher than the previous year .
  • Honduras: Foresees an increase in coffee production for this season . Exports are also expected to rise by about 8%.
  • Uganda: Projects a healthy increase in production of around 4.69% due to good farming practices and favorable weather .

Key Takeaway

The outlook for coffee harvests around the world is mixed. While some countries anticipate growth, others are expecting slight decreases. These forecasts can influence the global coffee supply and prices.

Country Forecasted Production Change Main Reasons
Vietnam Approximately -2% Drier weather impacting Robusta
Colombia +1.1% to +23% Improved weather in some areas
Ethiopia Approximately +6.25% Favorable weather conditions
Indonesia Approximately +24% overall, but 8% lower than previous forecast Uneven recovery of Robusta after bad weather
Honduras Increase Reduced coffee rust, better labor availability
Uganda Approximately +4.69% Good farming practices and favorable weather

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